Forecasting Malaria Morbidity to 2036 Based on Geo-Climatic Factors in the Democratic Republic of Congo
Abstract
Malaria is a global burden in terms of morbidity and mortality. In the Democratic Republic of Congo, malaria prevalence is increasing due to strong climatic variations. Reductions in malaria morbidity and mortality, the fight against climate change, good health and well-being constitute key development aims as set by the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). This study aims to predict malaria morbidity to 2036 in relation to climate variations between 2001 and 2019, which may serve as a basis to develop an early warning system that integrates monitoring of rainfall and temperature trends and early detection of anomalies in weather patterns
Figures/Tables
Rplot012
MALARIO LET
Malaria cases
Test for evaluating the accuracy of the forecasts.
Multivariate time series analysis of Geoclimatic factors and Malaria Morbidity
forecasts from various applied methods of malaria episodes in DRC
